England · FA Cup · 1st Round Qualifying13:00

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Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 09:03 UTC

North Ferriby vs Barton Town Old Boys Prediction, Odds & Statistics

North Ferriby vs Barton Town Old Boys in the FA Cup: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • North Ferriby home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates North Ferriby to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for North Ferriby and 1.18 for Barton Town Old Boys, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for North Ferriby or Barton Town Old Boys yet, so these numbers are a FA Cup scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

North Ferriby win44%
Draw26%
Barton Town Old Boys win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

North Ferriby

  • 2026-09-08T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Barton Town Old Boys · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Barton Town Old Boys · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lower Breck · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Scunthorpe · 3-6 (L)
  • 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Redcar Athletic · 1-2 (L)

Barton Town Old Boys

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.