Notodden vs Brattvåg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Notodden and 1.18 for Brattvåg, a combined total of 2.47. That distribution gives Notodden the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Notodden home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brattvåg away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Notodden to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 27% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Notodden and 1.18 for Brattvåg, a combined 2.47 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Notodden win39%

Draw27%

Brattvåg win34%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals45%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–112.9%
1–010.9%
0–19.9%
0–08.4%
2–18.4%

Recent form

Notodden

2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eik-Tønsberg · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs jerv · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Arendal · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs ODD Ballklubb · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Træff · 1-1 (D)

Brattvåg

2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Mjondalen · 4-1 (W)
2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bjarg · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vidar · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sotra · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arendal · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

2. Division - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	jerv	24	17	5	2	27	56
2	Brattvåg	25	16	3	6	21	51
3	Bjarg	24	16	2	6	25	50
4	Mjondalen	25	16	2	7	15	50
5	Sotra	25	14	3	8	27	45
6	Notodden	25	10	5	10	4	35
7	Kvik Halden	25	10	4	11	-1	34
8	Træff	24	9	7	8	-7	34
9	Pors Grenland	25	8	6	11	-3	30
10	Arendal	24	8	6	10	-5	30
11	Sandviken	25	7	5	13	-15	26
12	Lysekloster	25	5	7	13	-18	22
13	Eik-Tønsberg	25	4	1	20	-28	13
14	Vidar	25	3	4	18	-42	13

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.