Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.20 for Ipswich, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Nottingham Forest the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Nottingham Forest win

47.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Nottingham Forest home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ipswich away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Nottingham Forest win47%

Draw25%

Ipswich win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–111.6%
1–09.6%
2–19.4%
2–07.8%
0–17.1%

Recent form

Nottingham Forest

2026-10-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal · 0-1 (L)
2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Crystal Palace · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-19T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Coventry · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Aston Villa · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tottenham · 0-0 (D)

Ipswich

2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Manchester City · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fulham · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Everton · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-15T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Arsenal · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Crystal Palace · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2025-03-15T15:00:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 4-2 Ipswich (Premier League)
2025-03-03T19:30:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 1-1 Ipswich (FA Cup)
2024-11-30T15:00:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 1-0 Ipswich (Premier League)
2019-03-16T15:00:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 1-1 Ipswich (Championship)
2018-12-01T15:00:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 2-0 Ipswich (Championship)
2018-04-14T14:00:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 2-1 Ipswich (Championship)
2017-12-02T15:00:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 2-4 Ipswich (Championship)
2017-05-07T11:00:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 3-0 Ipswich (Championship)
2016-11-19T17:30:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 2-0 Ipswich (Championship)
2016-03-05T15:00:00.000Z · Nottingham Forest 0-1 Ipswich (Championship)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	7	7	0	0	12	21
2	Arsenal	7	6	0	1	6	18
3	Brighton	7	5	1	1	18	16
4	Chelsea	7	4	1	2	4	13
5	Liverpool	7	3	3	1	1	12
6	Brentford	7	2	4	1	5	10
7	Leeds	7	2	4	1	3	10
8	Everton	7	2	4	1	1	10
9	Hull City	7	2	3	2	1	9
10	Ipswich	7	3	0	4	-4	9
11	Newcastle	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Aston Villa	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Manchester United	7	1	4	2	0	7
14	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	-8	7
15	Bournemouth	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Tottenham	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Coventry	7	2	0	5	-8	6
18	Fulham	7	1	2	4	-3	5
19	Nottingham Forest	7	1	2	4	-4	5
20	Sunderland	7	1	1	5	-8	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Nottingham Forest win, at 47.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.