Nová Dedinka vs Lokomotíva DNV Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Nová Dedinka and 1.23 for Lokomotíva DNV, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Nová Dedinka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Nová Dedinka win

50.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Nová Dedinka home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nová Dedinka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 23% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Nová Dedinka and 1.23 for Lokomotíva DNV, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Nová Dedinka win50%

Draw23%

Lokomotíva DNV win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–110.8%
2–19.6%
1–08.8%
2–07.8%
1–26.6%

Recent form

Nová Dedinka

2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Petržalka · 1-5 (L)
2025-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs MŠK Senec · 0-4 (L)
2025-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovenský Grob · 2-2 (D)
2025-08-03T15:30:00.000Z · H vs NMŠK 1922 Bratislava · 1-1 (D)
2024-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Skalica · 1-6 (L)

Lokomotíva DNV

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - Bratislava table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rača	30	24	3	3	62	75
2	Slovan Ivanka	30	23	3	4	40	72
3	Inter Bratislava	30	21	6	3	61	69
4	Rusovce	30	19	3	8	30	60
5	Rovinka	30	17	7	6	31	58
6	Vrakuňa	30	16	4	10	12	52
7	Malacky	30	16	4	10	9	52
8	MŠK Senec	30	11	4	15	-13	37
9	Tomášov	30	9	8	13	-3	35
10	Pezinok	30	8	8	14	-12	32
11	Dunajská Lužná	30	9	5	16	-21	32
12	Bernolákovo	30	7	8	15	-25	29
13	Nová Dedinka	30	6	3	21	-44	21
14	Slovan Most	30	6	2	22	-39	20
15	Kalinkovo	30	5	4	21	-37	19
16	Lokomotíva DNV	30	4	6	20	-51	18

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Nová Dedinka win, at 50.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.