· Analysis updated 05:50 UTC
Nové Sady vs Prostejov B Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Nové Sady and 3.35 for Prostejov B, a combined total of 4.88. That distribution gives Prostejov B the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Prostejov B win
72.3% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 3.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nové Sady home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Prostejov B away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Prostejov B to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 14% / 14% / 72% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Nové Sady and 3.35 for Prostejov B, a combined 4.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
28%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.3%
- 1–26.5%
- 1–46.1%
- 2–35.6%
- 2–25.0%
Recent form
Nové Sady
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Kroměříž II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Šternberk · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Strání · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bzenec · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Všechovice · 1-6 (L)
Prostejov B
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Všechovice · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavičín · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Nové Sady · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Lanžhot · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kozlovice · 1-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie E table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 30 |
| 2 | Strání | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 28 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | Sokol Lanžhot | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
| 5 | Slavičín | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | SK Krumvir | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Prostejov B | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 |
| 8 | Šternberk | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Holešov | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Hluk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 11 | Břeclav | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Bzenec | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Kroměříž II | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Brumov | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -21 | 7 |
| 15 | Nové Sady | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 7 |
| 16 | Baťov | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | -39 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Prostejov B win, at 72.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.