· Analysis updated 10:15 UTC
Nové Sady vs Skaštice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.05 expected goals for Nové Sady and 1.78 for Skaštice, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives Nové Sady the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.9% probability
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nové Sady home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nové Sady to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 21% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.05 goals for Nové Sady and 1.78 for Skaštice, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.1%
- 1–17.9%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–27.0%
- 3–15.6%
Recent form
Nové Sady
- 2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Kroměříž II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Šternberk · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-08-28T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Strání · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bzenec · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-16T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Všechovice · 1-6 (L)
Skaštice
Head-to-head
- 2026-06-13T13:00:00.000Z · Nové Sady 0-2 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2025-11-09T13:00:00.000Z · Nové Sady 3-0 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2025-05-18T14:00:00.000Z · Nové Sady 3-1 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2024-10-12T13:00:00.000Z · Nové Sady 1-2 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2024-03-16T14:00:00.000Z · Nové Sady 0-0 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2023-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · Nové Sady 2-2 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2023-05-06T14:30:00.000Z · Nové Sady 3-1 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2022-09-24T13:30:00.000Z · Nové Sady 2-1 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2022-04-15T13:30:00.000Z · Nové Sady 2-2 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
- 2021-08-28T14:30:00.000Z · Nové Sady 0-1 Skaštice (4. liga - Divizie E)
4. liga - Divizie E table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Všechovice | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 30 |
| 2 | Strání | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Kozlovice | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | SK Krumvir | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 5 | Sokol Lanžhot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Slavičín | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Prostejov B | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Šternberk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Hluk | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Břeclav | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Holešov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Bzenec | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
| 13 | Brumov | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -19 | 7 |
| 14 | Nové Sady | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -23 | 7 |
| 15 | Kroměříž II | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 | Baťov | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -33 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.