ŠKA-Eliášovce · Analysis updated 00:34 UTC
Nový Život vs Kostolné Kračany Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Nový Život and 1.50 for Kostolné Kračany, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Kostolné Kračany the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kostolné Kračany win
48.8% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kostolné Kračany to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 25% / 26% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Nový Život and 1.50 for Kostolné Kračany, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 49%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 49% with low confidence, from a data-quality score of 70/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–112.3%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–08.2%
Recent form
Nový Život
Kostolné Kračany
- 2026-08-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Jelka · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Jelka · 0-0 (D)
- 2024-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok · 0-3 (L)
- 2024-09-25T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Gabčíkovo · 1-0 (W)
- 2024-08-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nový Život · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2024-08-21T15:00:00.000Z · Nový Život 0-2 Kostolné Kračany (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kostolné Kračany win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.