· Referee R. Gaardbo · Analysis updated 00:57 UTC
NSI Runavik vs HB Torshavn Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for NSI Runavik and 1.50 for HB Torshavn, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives NSI Runavik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.5% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
NSI Runavik home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
HB Torshavn away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.1%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
NSI Runavik
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs B36 Torshavn · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Gota · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AB · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs EB / Streymur · 4-2 (W)
HB Torshavn
- 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EB / Streymur · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T14:15:00.000Z · H vs KI Klaksvik · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs AB · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Skála · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-03T17:30:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 1-3 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
- 2026-05-08T17:30:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 2-1 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
- 2025-10-19T16:15:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 0-3 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
- 2025-05-25T16:15:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 1-4 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
- 2025-05-03T18:30:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 7-1 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
- 2024-08-27T17:30:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 3-2 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
- 2024-06-02T16:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 2-3 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
- 2024-03-10T18:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 2-3 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
- 2022-10-22T14:15:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 1-3 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
- 2022-06-19T16:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 0-2 HB Torshavn (Meistaradeildin)
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 42 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | EB / Streymur | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
| 7 | Skála | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 25 |
| 8 | AB | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -14 | 25 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -17 | 25 |
| 10 | B68 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -23 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.