· Referee J. H. Ellefsen · Analysis updated 17:50 UTC
NSI Runavik vs Skála Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for NSI Runavik and 0.88 for Skála, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives NSI Runavik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
NSI Runavik win
58.7% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
NSI Runavik home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Skála away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.5%
- 2–011.1%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–07.1%
Recent form
NSI Runavik
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs B36 Torshavn · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Gota · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AB · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs EB / Streymur · 4-2 (W)
Skála
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs HB Torshavn · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T16:15:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T16:15:00.000Z · A vs B68 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-16T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Gota · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-10T18:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 4-0 Skála (Meistaradeildin)
- 2026-04-26T14:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 3-3 Skála (Meistaradeildin)
- 2024-10-20T14:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 0-0 Skála (Meistaradeildin)
- 2024-08-10T15:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 3-0 Skála (Meistaradeildin)
- 2024-03-16T18:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 3-1 Skála (Meistaradeildin)
- 2023-10-27T18:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 0-2 Skála (1. Deild)
- 2023-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 0-1 Skála (1. Deild)
- 2023-04-06T15:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 0-1 Skála (1. Deild)
- 2022-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 1-1 Skála (Meistaradeildin)
- 2022-05-21T17:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 4-1 Skála (Meistaradeildin)
Meistaradeildin table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSI Runavik | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 54 |
| 2 | KI Klaksvik | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | HB Torshavn | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Vikingur Gota | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | B36 Torshavn | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | EB / Streymur | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -12 | 26 |
| 7 | Skála | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -13 | 24 |
| 8 | AB | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | -14 | 24 |
| 9 | 07 Vestur | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 | B68 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -22 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is NSI Runavik win, at 58.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.