NSI Runavik vs Vikingur Gota Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for NSI Runavik and 1.13 for Vikingur Gota, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives NSI Runavik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

NSI Runavik win

53.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

NSI Runavik home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Vikingur Gota away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

NSI Runavik win54%

Draw23%

Vikingur Gota win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–110.7%
2–19.8%
1–09.6%
2–08.7%
1–26.0%

Recent form

NSI Runavik

2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs B36 Torshavn · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Gota · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AB · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs EB / Streymur · 4-2 (W)

Vikingur Gota

2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 07 Vestur · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · A vs NSI Runavik · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs KI Klaksvik · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-28T17:30:00.000Z · H vs HB Torshavn · 1-3 (L)
2026-08-21T17:30:00.000Z · H vs B36 Torshavn · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-09-13T16:15:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 1-1 Vikingur Gota (Meistaradeildin)
2026-06-29T17:30:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 3-3 Vikingur Gota (Meistaradeildin)
2026-03-08T15:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 1-0 Vikingur Gota (Meistaradeildin)
2025-08-18T17:30:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 3-3 Vikingur Gota (Meistaradeildin)
2025-06-22T16:15:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 1-1 Vikingur Gota (Meistaradeildin)
2025-04-07T17:30:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 1-3 Vikingur Gota (Løgmanssteypid)
2025-03-16T17:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 3-0 Vikingur Gota (Meistaradeildin)
2024-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 0-3 Vikingur Gota (Meistaradeildin)
2024-05-20T16:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 0-2 Vikingur Gota (Meistaradeildin)
2024-04-29T18:00:00.000Z · NSI Runavik 0-1 Vikingur Gota (Meistaradeildin)

Meistaradeildin table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NSI Runavik	26	16	7	3	23	55
2	KI Klaksvik	26	14	9	3	29	51
3	HB Torshavn	26	13	6	7	14	45
4	Vikingur Gota	26	10	12	4	10	42
5	B36 Torshavn	26	10	9	7	3	39
6	EB / Streymur	26	7	6	13	-12	27
7	Skála	26	5	10	11	-13	25
8	AB	26	7	4	15	-14	25
9	07 Vestur	26	7	4	15	-17	25
10	B68	26	5	5	16	-23	20

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is NSI Runavik win, at 53.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.