Norway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · Matchweek 1517:00
NTNUILWWLW

0 – 0

Saturday, 8 August 2026

ByåsenDLWWW

· Analysis updated 15:40 UTC

NTNUI vs Byåsen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for NTNUI and 1.99 for Byåsen, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives Byåsen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Byåsen win

47.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.99

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • NTNUI home form

    5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Byåsen away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Byåsen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 31% / 22% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for NTNUI and 1.99 for Byåsen, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

NTNUI win31%
Draw22%
Byåsen win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams to score69%

Correct score

  • 1–18.8%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–35.8%

Recent form

NTNUI

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Aalesund II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nardo · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Trondheim · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Molde II · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Orkla · 1-3 (L)

Byåsen

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Trondheim · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Orkla · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Herd · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ranheim II · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Strindheim · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Strindheim2416443952
2Volda2416443852
3Melhus2412572641
4Byåsen241158738
5Molde II241059-1135
6Rosenborg II2410410934
7Nardo24103111433
8Herd249510-732
9Spjelkavik248511-829
10NTNUI247710-1628
11Ranheim II247512-1726
12Kvik Trondheim247512-2126
13Aalesund II247413-2325
14Orkla245514-3020

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Byåsen win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.