· Analysis updated 15:45 UTC
Nürnberg U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.50 expected goals for Nürnberg U19 and 1.75 for Dynamo Dresden U19, a combined total of 5.25. That distribution gives Nürnberg U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Nürnberg U19 win
70.4% probability
Expected goals
3.50 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nürnberg U19 home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Dynamo Dresden U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nürnberg U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 70% / 14% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.50 goals for Nürnberg U19 and 1.75 for Dynamo Dresden U19, a combined 5.25 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
30%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.6%
- 3–25.7%
- 4–15.7%
- 2–15.6%
- 4–25.0%
Recent form
Nürnberg U19
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-02T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-04-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hoffenheim U19 · 3-3 (D)
Dynamo Dresden U19
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Nürnberg U19 · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · Nürnberg U19 1-3 Dynamo Dresden U19 (U19 Bundesliga)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nürnberg U19 win, at 70.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.