Max-Morlock-Stadion · Analysis updated 18:31 UTC
Nürnberg W vs Eintracht Frankfurt W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Nürnberg W and 2.02 for Eintracht Frankfurt W, a combined total of 4.11. That distribution gives Nürnberg W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.5% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 2.02
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nürnberg W home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Eintracht Frankfurt W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nürnberg W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 20% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Nürnberg W and 2.02 for Eintracht Frankfurt W, a combined 4.11 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.2%
- 1–27.0%
- 1–16.9%
- 3–25.1%
Recent form
Nürnberg W
- 2026-09-27T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Buntentor W · 10-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs RB Leipzig W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Stuttgart W · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankfurt W · 1-1 (D)
Eintracht Frankfurt W
- 2026-10-03T15:55:00.000Z · H vs Bayern Munich W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-30T16:30:00.000Z · H vs FH W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlsruher SC W · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-09-23T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FH W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Mainz 05 W · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.