Hungary · NB III - Northeast · Northeast - 2509:00

4 – 3

Sunday, 19 April 2026

Örökösföldi Akadémia Sportpálya · Analysis updated 16:31 UTC

Nyiregyhaza II vs Putnok VSE Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Nyiregyhaza II and 1.79 for Putnok VSE, a combined total of 3.32. That distribution gives Putnok VSE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

66.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.79

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Nyiregyhaza II home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Putnok VSE away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Putnok VSE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 33% / 23% / 44% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.53 goals for Nyiregyhaza II and 1.79 for Putnok VSE, a combined 3.32 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Nyiregyhaza II win33%
Draw23%
Putnok VSE win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 1–19.9%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.5%

Recent form

Nyiregyhaza II

  • 2026-10-24T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Gödöllő · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisvárda II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Salgótarjáni BTC · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 0-2 (L)

Putnok VSE

  • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Eger · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Hatvan · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tarpa · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-05-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Debrecen II · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-04-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kisvárda II · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ózd Sajóvölgye1311023133
2Cigand SE1310212532
3DEAC138231426
4Debrecen II138141025
5Gödöllő13715822
6Kisvárda II13562621
7Mátészalka13553620
8Diósgyőr II13544319
9Tiszaújváros13526-317
10Füzesabony13526-317
11Eger13526-1217
12Hajdúnánás13418-1713
13Salgótarjáni BTC13409-1112
14Tiszafuredi VSE13319-1310
15Tarpa133010-209
16Nyiregyhaza II131111-244

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.