· Analysis updated 05:12 UTC
Nyiregyhaza vs Zemplín Michalovce Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Nyiregyhaza and 1.30 for Zemplín Michalovce, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Nyiregyhaza the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Nyiregyhaza win
49.5% probability
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.30
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nyiregyhaza home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Zemplín Michalovce away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nyiregyhaza to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 23% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Nyiregyhaza and 1.30 for Zemplín Michalovce, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.8%
Recent form
Nyiregyhaza
- 2026-10-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Puskas Academy · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Budapest Honved · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Zalaegerszegi TE · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zemplín Michalovce · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ferencvarosi TC · 1-1 (D)
Zemplín Michalovce
- 2026-10-24T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Podbrezová · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T13:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Košice · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunajska Streda · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyiregyhaza · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Zemplín Michalovce (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-06-29T09:30:00.000Z · Nyiregyhaza 1-1 Zemplín Michalovce (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nyiregyhaza win, at 49.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.