Denmark · DBU Pokalen · Round of 12817:00

2 – 0

Tuesday, 4 August 2026

B 93

Lollands Bank Park · Analysis updated 10:06 UTC

Nykobing FC vs B 93 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.23 expected goals for Nykobing FC and 1.26 for B 93, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Nykobing FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Nykobing FC win

59.4% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.23 – 1.26

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Nykobing FC home form

    13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • B 93 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Nykobing FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.23 goals for Nykobing FC and 1.26 for B 93, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Nykobing FC win59%
Draw20%
B 93 win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score64%

Correct score

  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 3–17.1%
  • 1–06.8%

Recent form

Nykobing FC

  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-07-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 3-1 (W)

B 93

  • 2026-08-21T17:00:00.000Z · H vs HIK · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Roskilde · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Nykobing FC win, at 59.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.