· Analysis updated 08:45 UTC
Nykobing FC vs Brabrand Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.63 expected goals for Nykobing FC and 0.99 for Brabrand, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Nykobing FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Nykobing FC win
72.3% probability
Expected goals
2.63 – 0.99
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nykobing FC home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brabrand away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nykobing FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 16% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.63 goals for Nykobing FC and 0.99 for Brabrand, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–09.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 3–08.1%
- 3–18.0%
- 1–07.0%
Recent form
Nykobing FC
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 3-1 (W)
Brabrand
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nykobing FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Thisted FC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-16T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Viborg · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Naestved | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Middelfart | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | B 93 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Skive | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | HIK | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 12 | FA 2000 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nykobing FC win, at 72.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.