· Analysis updated 02:53 UTC
Nykobing FC vs Fremad Amager Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.42 expected goals for Nykobing FC and 1.29 for Fremad Amager, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Nykobing FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws roughly 38% of the time.
Model pick
Nykobing FC to Win
62.2% probability
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.29
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
38%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.3%
- 1–17.7%
- 3–17.5%
- 2–07.2%
- 2–26.0%
Why the model likes this
Nykobing FC home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fremad Amager away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nykobing FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 19% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.42 goals for Nykobing FC and 1.29 for Fremad Amager, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Nykobing FC
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 3-1 (W)
Fremad Amager
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Frem · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VSK Århus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Middelfart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 3 | Nykobing FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Roskilde | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Naestved | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Fremad Amager | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | HIK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Skive | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | FA 2000 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | B 93 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 | Brabrand | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.