· Analysis updated 05:03 UTC
Nykobing FC vs HIK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for Nykobing FC and 0.88 for HIK, a combined total of 3.33. That distribution gives Nykobing FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Nykobing FC win
71.7% probability
Expected goals
2.45 – 0.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nykobing FC home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
HIK away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nykobing FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 17% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.45 goals for Nykobing FC and 0.88 for HIK, a combined 3.33 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.8%
- 3–08.7%
- 1–17.7%
Recent form
Nykobing FC
- 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs B 93 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Fremad Amager · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 3-1 (W)
HIK
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Roskilde · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Esbjerg · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Fremad Amager · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Roskilde | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | VSK Århus | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Naestved | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Middelfart | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | B 93 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Skive | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Fremad Amager | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 17 |
| 9 | Brabrand | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | HIK | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Thisted FC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 6 |
| 12 | FA 2000 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -16 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Nykobing FC win, at 71.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.