· Analysis updated 07:26 UTC
Nyrsko vs Petřín Plzeň Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.26 expected goals for Nyrsko and 3.21 for Petřín Plzeň, a combined total of 4.47. That distribution gives Petřín Plzeň the largest share of the 1X2 market at 75%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 75% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Petřín Plzeň win
75.2% probability
Expected goals
1.26 – 3.21
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nyrsko home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Petřín Plzeň away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Petřín Plzeň to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 75%, against 12% / 13% / 75% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.26 goals for Nyrsko and 3.21 for Petřín Plzeň, a combined 4.47 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
25%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
89%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.9%
- 1–27.4%
- 1–46.4%
- 0–36.3%
- 0–25.9%
Recent form
Nyrsko
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Petřín Plzeň · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hořovicko · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Komárov · 0-2 (L)
Petřín Plzeň
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Strakonice · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petřín Plzeň | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Spartak Pribram | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 23 |
| 3 | Křimice | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Hořovicko | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Komárov | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Spartak Soběslav | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Táborsko II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Doubravka | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Rokycany | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | Strakonice | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 14 | Nyrsko | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -21 | 4 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Petřín Plzeň win, at 75.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 75% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.