Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie A · Group A - 615:00
NyrskoLWLLL

0 – 3

Saturday, 12 September 2026

· Analysis updated 14:35 UTC

Nyrsko vs Slavoj Český Krumlov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Nyrsko and 2.18 for Slavoj Český Krumlov, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives Nyrsko the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

61.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 2.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Nyrsko home form

    0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slavoj Český Krumlov away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Nyrsko to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 20% / 39% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.25 goals for Nyrsko and 2.18 for Slavoj Český Krumlov, a combined 4.43 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Nyrsko win42%
Draw20%
Slavoj Český Krumlov win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals64%
Both teams to score79%

Correct score

  • 2–27.2%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 1–15.9%
  • 3–25.4%

Recent form

Nyrsko

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice II · 4-3 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Petřín Plzeň · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Hořovicko · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Český Krumlov · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Komárov · 0-2 (L)

Slavoj Český Krumlov

  • 2026-09-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Strakonice · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Pribram · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyrsko · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Křimice · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Doubravka · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Petřín Plzeň118121225
2Spartak Pribram107211923
3Křimice11722823
4Hluboka nad Vltavou10541819
5Komárov9540819
6Hořovicko10523417
7Spartak Soběslav9513616
8Táborsko II10442516
9Slavoj Český Krumlov10406-612
10Doubravka10325-211
11Rokycany10316-910
12Strakonice9216-87
13Jiskra Domažlice II9108-133
14Nyrsko9108-213
15Milevsko9027-112

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.