· Analysis updated 06:43 UTC
Nyva Ternopil II vs Ruh Lviv Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Nyva Ternopil II and 1.75 for Ruh Lviv, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Ruh Lviv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Ruh Lviv win
49.1% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Nyva Ternopil II home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Ruh Lviv away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ruh Lviv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 27% / 24% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for Nyva Ternopil II and 1.75 for Ruh Lviv, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–27.6%
- 2–16.8%
Recent form
Nyva Ternopil II
- 2026-10-23T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bratslav Vinnytsia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Dnister Zalishchyky · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Vilkhivtsi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-03T09:15:00.000Z · H vs Dinaz Vyshhorod · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 1-2 (L)
Ruh Lviv
- 2026-10-11T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Nyva Vinnytsya · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Bratslav Vinnytsia · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Vilkhivtsi · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-14T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Ternopil II · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-14T12:30:00.000Z · Nyva Ternopil II 1-0 Ruh Lviv (Druha Liga)
Druha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bratslav Vinnytsia | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 25 |
| 1 | Karbon Cherkasy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Dnister Zalishchyky | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Lozova | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Rebel | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Vilkhivtsi | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 4 | SC Poltava 2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 5 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 5 | Trostianets | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 | Atlet | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Skala 1911 Stryi | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 7 | Oleksandria II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Dinaz Vyshhorod | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 8 |
| 8 | Metalurh Zaporizhya | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Ruh Lviv | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Penuel | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ruh Lviv win, at 49.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.