· Analysis updated 17:41 UTC
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kudrivka Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Obolon'-Brovar and 1.13 for Kudrivka, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Obolon'-Brovar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Obolon'-Brovar win
53.2% probability
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Kudrivka away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Obolon'-Brovar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 23% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Obolon'-Brovar and 1.13 for Kudrivka, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–08.7%
- 1–26.1%
Recent form
Obolon'-Brovar
- 2026-09-18T10:15:00.000Z · A vs Chornomorets · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs LNZ Cherkasy · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Kharkiv · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-08-28T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty · 0-2 (L)
Kudrivka
- 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Veres Rivne · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-20T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolos Kovalivka · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Polessya · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Polessya · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-29T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Obolon'-Brovar win, at 53.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.