ODD Ballklubb vs Kongsvinger Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for ODD Ballklubb and 2.30 for Kongsvinger, a combined total of 4.05. That distribution gives Kongsvinger the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Kongsvinger win

50.5% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 2.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

ODD Ballklubb home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kongsvinger away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kongsvinger to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 30% / 20% / 51% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for ODD Ballklubb and 2.30 for Kongsvinger, a combined 4.05 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

ODD Ballklubb win30%

Draw20%

Kongsvinger win51%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Over 3.5 goals58%

Both teams to score74%

Correct score

1–28.1%
2–27.1%
1–17.0%
1–36.2%
2–16.1%

Recent form

ODD Ballklubb

2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Strommen · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sogndal · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bryne · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs hodd · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Egersund · 5-1 (W)

Kongsvinger

2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandnes ULF · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Stromsgodset · 1-5 (L)
2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranheim · 6-2 (W)
2026-10-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Moss · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs hodd · 5-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-26T17:00:00.000Z · ODD Ballklubb 0-1 Kongsvinger (1. Division)
2026-05-20T17:00:00.000Z · ODD Ballklubb 2-4 Kongsvinger (1. Division)
2025-08-23T14:00:00.000Z · ODD Ballklubb 1-2 Kongsvinger (1. Division)
2025-05-12T17:00:00.000Z · ODD Ballklubb 3-1 Kongsvinger (1. Division)

1. Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	28	18	6	4	42	60
2	Kongsvinger	27	18	5	4	39	59
3	Haugesund	27	19	2	6	33	59
4	Stabaek	27	16	4	7	30	52
5	ODD Ballklubb	27	13	6	8	13	45
6	Bryne	27	12	3	12	-1	39
7	Ranheim	28	11	5	12	3	38
8	hodd	27	11	5	11	-6	38
9	Strommen	28	10	6	12	-10	36
10	Egersund	27	9	7	11	-11	34
11	Lyn	27	9	4	14	-16	31
12	Moss	27	8	5	14	-16	29
13	Sogndal	27	7	6	14	-16	27
14	Sandnes ULF	27	7	5	15	-17	26
15	Asane	27	6	5	16	-24	23
16	Raufoss	28	6	2	20	-43	20

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Kongsvinger win, at 50.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.