ODD Ballklubb vs Sandnes ULF Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for ODD Ballklubb and 1.13 for Sandnes ULF, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives ODD Ballklubb the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

ODD Ballklubb win

63.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.28 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

ODD Ballklubb home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Sandnes ULF away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ODD Ballklubb to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 19% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for ODD Ballklubb and 1.13 for Sandnes ULF, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

ODD Ballklubb win63%

Draw19%

Sandnes ULF win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

2–19.7%
2–08.6%
1–18.5%
1–07.5%
3–17.4%

Recent form

ODD Ballklubb

2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs hodd · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Egersund · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Notodden · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Raufoss · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stromsgodset · 1-1 (D)

Sandnes ULF

2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Stabaek · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Haugesund · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Strommen · 3-3 (D)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Moss · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Arendal · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Haugesund	26	19	2	5	38	59
2	Stromsgodset	26	17	6	3	38	57
3	Kongsvinger	26	17	5	4	35	56
4	Stabaek	26	15	4	7	29	49
5	ODD Ballklubb	26	13	6	7	14	45
6	Bryne	26	12	3	11	1	39
7	hodd	26	10	5	11	-10	35
8	Egersund	26	9	6	11	-11	33
9	Ranheim	26	9	5	12	-1	32
10	Strommen	26	8	6	12	-12	30
11	Moss	26	8	5	13	-15	29
12	Lyn	26	8	4	14	-17	28
13	Sandnes ULF	26	7	5	14	-13	26
14	Sogndal	25	6	5	14	-17	23
15	Asane	26	6	5	15	-23	23
16	Raufoss	25	6	2	17	-36	20

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is ODD Ballklubb win, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.