Norway · 1. Division · Matchweek 2715:00

15:00 UTC

Sunday, 18 October 2026

StrommenDDLDW

Skagerak Arena · Analysis updated 13:41 UTC

ODD Ballklubb vs Strommen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.07 expected goals for ODD Ballklubb and 1.60 for Strommen, a combined total of 3.68. That distribution gives ODD Ballklubb the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

ODD Ballklubb win

48.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.07 – 1.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • ODD Ballklubb home form

    4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Strommen away threat

    Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates ODD Ballklubb to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 21% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.07 goals for ODD Ballklubb and 1.60 for Strommen, a combined 3.68 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

ODD Ballklubb win49%
Draw21%
Strommen win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals50%
Both teams to score70%

Correct score

  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–18.4%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 3–16.0%

Recent form

ODD Ballklubb

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs hodd · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Egersund · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Notodden · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Raufoss · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stromsgodset · 1-1 (D)

Strommen

  • 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Haugesund · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sogndal · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Tromsdalen Uil · 1-9 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bryne · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Moss · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kongsvinger2517533956
2Haugesund2518253556
3Stromsgodset2516633454
4Stabaek2514472646
5ODD Ballklubb2512671342
6Bryne2512211138
7hodd2510411-1034
8Egersund259511-1132
9Ranheim259412-131
10Lyn258413-1428
11Moss258413-1528
12Strommen257612-1727
13Sandnes ULF257513-1026
14Sogndal246513-1623
15Asane256514-1823
16Raufoss246117-3619

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is ODD Ballklubb win, at 48.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.