Odd II vs Brodd Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.13 expected goals for Odd II and 1.72 for Brodd, a combined total of 3.85. That distribution gives Odd II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Odd II win

47.4% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.13 – 1.72

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Odd II home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brodd away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Odd II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 21% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.13 goals for Odd II and 1.72 for Brodd, a combined 3.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Odd II win47%

Draw21%

Brodd win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

2–18.3%
1–17.8%
2–27.1%
1–26.7%
3–15.9%

Recent form

Odd II

2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mandalskameratene · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Åkra · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Haugesund II · 7-0 (W)
2026-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 0-4 (L)

Brodd

2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Hinna · 4-0 (W)
2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vindbjart · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Våg · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Staal Jørpeland · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-05-26T16:00:00.000Z · Odd II 1-2 Brodd (3. Division - Girone 4)
2024-09-01T14:00:00.000Z · Odd II 0-4 Brodd (3. Division - Girone 2)
2024-05-04T14:00:00.000Z · Odd II 1-1 Brodd (3. Division - Girone 2)

3. Division - Girone 4 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Madla	23	14	6	3	32	48
2	Mandalskameratene	23	13	4	6	20	43
3	Flekkerøy	23	12	3	8	8	39
4	Vindbjart	23	12	2	9	20	38
5	Varhaug	23	10	6	7	5	36
6	Viking II	23	10	5	8	23	35
7	Brodd	23	10	3	10	2	33
8	Stabæk II	23	10	3	10	-1	33
9	Våg	23	10	2	11	1	32
10	Odd II	23	8	5	10	-10	29
11	Staal Jørpeland	23	7	5	11	-13	26
12	Haugesund II	23	7	4	12	-21	25
13	Hinna	23	6	5	12	-25	23
14	Åkra	23	4	3	16	-41	15

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Odd II win, at 47.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.