Skagerak Arena · Analysis updated 16:02 UTC
Odd II vs Viking II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Odd II and 1.90 for Viking II, a combined total of 3.88. That distribution gives Odd II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
62.0% probability
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Odd II home form
8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Viking II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Odd II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.98 goals for Odd II and 1.90 for Viking II, a combined 3.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–17.8%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 3–15.1%
Recent form
Odd II
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mandalskameratene · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Åkra · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Haugesund II · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 0-4 (L)
Viking II
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vindbjart · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Odd II · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Våg · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Staal Jørpeland · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Varhaug · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Division - Girone 4 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 48 |
| 2 | Mandalskameratene | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 43 |
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | Vindbjart | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 38 |
| 5 | Varhaug | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Viking II | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 35 |
| 7 | Brodd | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Stabæk II | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 | Våg | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Odd II | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -10 | 29 |
| 11 | Staal Jørpeland | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Haugesund II | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -21 | 25 |
| 13 | Hinna | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -25 | 23 |
| 14 | Åkra | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -41 | 15 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.