Norway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · Matchweek 2211:00
Odd IIWWLDW

3 – 1

Monday, 5 October 2026

Viking IIWLLDW

Skagerak Arena · Analysis updated 16:02 UTC

Odd II vs Viking II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for Odd II and 1.90 for Viking II, a combined total of 3.88. That distribution gives Odd II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Odd II home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Viking II away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Odd II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 38% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.98 goals for Odd II and 1.90 for Viking II, a combined 3.88 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Odd II win41%
Draw21%
Viking II win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 1–17.8%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 3–15.1%

Recent form

Odd II

  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mandalskameratene · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stabæk II · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Åkra · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Haugesund II · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Madla · 0-4 (L)

Viking II

  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vindbjart · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Odd II · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Våg · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Staal Jørpeland · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Varhaug · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 4 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Madla2314633248
2Mandalskameratene2313462043
3Flekkerøy231238839
4Vindbjart2312292038
5Varhaug231067536
6Viking II2310582335
7Brodd2310310233
8Stabæk II2310310-133
9Våg2310211132
10Odd II238510-1029
11Staal Jørpeland237511-1326
12Haugesund II237412-2125
13Hinna236512-2523
14Åkra234316-4115

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.