Oddevold vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.56 expected goals for Oddevold and 1.55 for Falkenbergs FF, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Oddevold the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Oddevold home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Falkenbergs FF away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oddevold to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 24% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.56 goals for Oddevold and 1.55 for Falkenbergs FF, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Oddevold win38%

Draw24%

Falkenbergs FF win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–110.8%
2–18.4%
1–28.3%
1–07.0%
0–16.9%

Recent form

Oddevold

2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs United Nordic · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs IFK Varnamo · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs IFK Norrkoping · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandviken · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Falkenbergs FF · 2-1 (W)

Falkenbergs FF

2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs IFK Varnamo · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostersunds FK · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ljungskile SK · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-10T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Osters IF · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Oddevold · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Superettan table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	IFK Norrkoping	25	17	4	4	32	55
2	Falkenbergs FF	25	13	6	6	13	45
3	Varbergs BoIS FC	25	13	5	7	11	44
4	Ostersunds FK	25	11	10	4	9	43
5	Landskrona BoIS	25	11	7	7	13	40
6	Oddevold	25	9	9	7	4	36
7	Osters IF	25	11	3	11	0	36
8	United Nordic	25	9	9	7	-2	36
9	Sandviken	25	9	7	9	6	34
10	Helsingborg	25	8	6	11	-9	30
11	IFK Varnamo	25	8	5	12	-12	29
12	Ljungskile SK	25	7	7	11	-3	28
13	Norrby IF	25	4	12	9	-7	24
14	Orebro SK	25	5	9	11	-12	24
15	IK brage	25	5	8	12	-9	23
16	GIF Sundsvall	25	6	1	18	-34	19

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.