Sweden · Superettan · Matchweek 2817:00
OddevoldWLWLD

7 – 0

Friday, 23 October 2026

Rimnersvallen · Referee Max Persson · Analysis updated 09:01 UTC

Oddevold vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Oddevold and 0.98 for GIF Sundsvall, a combined total of 2.58. That distribution gives Oddevold the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Oddevold win

52.0% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Oddevold home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • GIF Sundsvall away threat

    Scored in 1 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Oddevold to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 25% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.60 goals for Oddevold and 0.98 for GIF Sundsvall, a combined 2.58 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Oddevold win52%
Draw25%
GIF Sundsvall win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

48%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 1–012.2%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–07.6%

Recent form

Oddevold

  • 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs GIF Sundsvall · 7-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Osters IF · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs United Nordic · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs IFK Varnamo · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs IFK Norrkoping · 0-0 (D)

GIF Sundsvall

  • 2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Oddevold · 0-7 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs IFK Varnamo · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs IFK Norrkoping · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandviken · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ljungskile SK · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Superettan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping2819544062
2Falkenbergs FF2715661551
3Ostersunds FK28121241248
4Varbergs BoIS FC2713771146
5Landskrona BoIS2712781343
6Oddevold2811981142
7Osters IF2813312142
8United Nordic281099-639
9Sandviken2810810638
10Ljungskile SK288911-133
11Helsingborg288812-1132
12IFK Varnamo289514-1332
13Norrby IF2851211-1027
14IK brage286814-1026
15Orebro SK2751111-1226
16GIF Sundsvall286121-4619

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Oddevold win, at 52.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

A 52% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.