· Analysis updated 19:51 UTC
Odense Q W vs ASA Aarhus W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.07 expected goals for Odense Q W and 1.44 for ASA Aarhus W, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives ASA Aarhus W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
ASA Aarhus W win
45.5% probability
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.44
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Odense Q W home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
ASA Aarhus W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates ASA Aarhus W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 28% / 26% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.07 goals for Odense Q W and 1.44 for ASA Aarhus W, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
72%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.5%
- 0–111.7%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.7%
- 0–28.4%
Recent form
Odense Q W
- 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-06T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs KoldingQ W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 0-3 (L)
ASA Aarhus W
- 2026-10-25T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Odense Q W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · A vs AGF W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Brøndby W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Odense Q W · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kvindeliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Køge W | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | Nordsjælland W | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 22 |
| 3 | Brøndby W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 21 |
| 4 | Fortuna Hjørring W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | Midtjylland W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | ASA Aarhus W | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | KoldingQ W | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 13 |
| 8 | Odense Q W | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 13 |
| 9 | FC Copenhagen W | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -24 | 6 |
| 10 | AGF W | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -19 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is ASA Aarhus W win, at 45.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.