Denmark · Kvindeliga · Relegation - 1012:00
Odense Q WWLWDL

1 – 0

Saturday, 13 June 2026

· Analysis updated 12:47 UTC

Odense Q W vs Osterbro W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Odense Q W and 1.15 for Osterbro W, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Odense Q W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Odense Q W win

64.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Odense Q W home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Odense Q W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 64% / 19% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.35 goals for Odense Q W and 1.15 for Osterbro W, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

Odense Q W win64%
Draw19%
Osterbro W win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

36%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 3–17.5%
  • 1–07.1%

Recent form

Odense Q W

  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Brøndby W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Fortuna Hjørring W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Midtjylland W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs KoldingQ W · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Køge W · 0-3 (L)

Osterbro W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Kvindeliga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Køge W108111925
    2Nordsjælland W116412022
    3Brøndby W106221720
    4Fortuna Hjørring W115331118
    5Midtjylland W11533218
    6ASA Aarhus W11515-516
    7KoldingQ W11416-913
    8Odense Q W11416-1413
    9FC Copenhagen W11209-226
    10AGF W111010-193

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Odense Q W win, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.

    A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.