Odense vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Odense and 2.08 for FC Midtjylland, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives FC Midtjylland the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FC Midtjylland win

63.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.93 – 2.08

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Odense home form
1 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
FC Midtjylland away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 10 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Odense win16%

Draw20%

FC Midtjylland win64%

Double chance 1X

36%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

84%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score53%

Correct score

0–210.7%
0–110.3%
1–29.9%
1–19.6%
0–37.4%

Recent form

Odense

2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 4-5 (L)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Midtjylland · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Randers FC · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 0-5 (L)

FC Midtjylland

2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Odense · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brondby · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 7-0 (W)
2026-09-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Nordsjaelland · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · Odense 1-1 FC Midtjylland (Superliga)
2026-07-17T12:00:00.000Z · Odense 1-4 FC Midtjylland (Friendlies Clubs)
2026-02-15T15:00:00.000Z · Odense 1-4 FC Midtjylland (Superliga)
2025-07-20T16:00:00.000Z · Odense 3-3 FC Midtjylland (Superliga)
2023-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · Odense 1-2 FC Midtjylland (Superliga)
2023-09-24T16:00:00.000Z · Odense 1-2 FC Midtjylland (Superliga)
2023-06-03T12:00:00.000Z · Odense 2-4 FC Midtjylland (Superliga)
2023-03-31T17:00:00.000Z · Odense 1-3 FC Midtjylland (Superliga)
2023-01-27T12:00:00.000Z · Odense 2-4 FC Midtjylland (Friendlies Clubs)
2022-10-31T18:00:00.000Z · Odense 2-1 FC Midtjylland (Superliga)

Superliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	9	8	0	1	15	24
2	FC Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	8	19
3	Viborg	9	5	2	2	7	17
4	FC Nordsjaelland	9	5	2	2	4	17
5	Brondby	9	4	1	4	-3	13
6	AC Horsens	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Silkeborg	9	2	4	3	0	10
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	-3	10
9	Odense	9	2	3	4	-6	9
10	Lyngby	9	1	4	4	-6	7
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	-6	5
12	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	-9	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC Midtjylland win, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.