· Analysis updated 14:59 UTC
Odishi 1919 vs Sioni Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.31 expected goals for Odishi 1919 and 1.24 for Sioni, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives Odishi 1919 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.0% probability
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.24
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Odishi 1919 home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Sioni away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Odishi 1919 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 27% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.31 goals for Odishi 1919 and 1.24 for Sioni, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
62%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–19.7%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–07.9%
Recent form
Odishi 1919
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Samtredia · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sioni · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Merani Martvili · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kolkheti Poti · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Torpedo Kutaisi · 1-4 (L)
Sioni
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Telavi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Odishi 1919 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Shturmi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gori · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Gori · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Erovnuli Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 54 |
| 2 | Shturmi | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 49 |
| 3 | Telavi | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -6 | 40 |
| 5 | Samtredia | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 40 |
| 6 | Aragvi Dusheti | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -9 | 39 |
| 7 | Odishi 1919 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 8 | Sioni | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Gori | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Kolkheti Poti | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 32 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.