Oedt vs Wallern / Marienkirchen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Oedt and 0.88 for Wallern / Marienkirchen, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Oedt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Oedt win

61.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 0.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Oedt home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oedt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 62% / 22% / 17% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Oedt and 0.88 for Wallern / Marienkirchen, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Match result (1X2)

Oedt win62%

Draw22%

Wallern / Marienkirchen win17%

Double chance 1X

83%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–011.8%
2–011.3%
1–110.4%
2–19.8%
3–07.1%

Recent form

Oedt

2026-06-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Martin i.M. · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Grün Weiß Micheldorf · 5-1 (W)
2026-06-03T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Deutschlandsberger SC · 5-2 (W)
2026-05-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Friedburg / Pöndorf · 1-1 (D)
2026-05-29T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Weiz · 1-1 (D)

Wallern / Marienkirchen

2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Leonfelden · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Bad Schallerbach · 2-0 (W)
2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · H vs UFC Hallein · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Gurten · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Ried II · 5-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Mitte table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Voitsberg	30	26	2	2	92	80
2	Gurten	30	20	4	6	31	64
3	Oedt	30	15	10	5	30	55
4	LASK Juniors	30	15	6	9	22	51
5	Deutschlandsberger SC	30	14	9	7	8	51
6	Kalsdorf	30	15	4	11	6	49
7	Velden	30	13	7	10	3	46
8	SV Lafnitz	30	12	6	12	-5	42
9	Wallern / Marienkirchen	30	12	4	14	-7	40
10	Weiz	30	10	9	11	-5	39
11	Wolfsberger AC II	30	9	7	14	-1	34
12	Wohnbau Dietach	30	9	5	16	-24	32
13	Gleisdorf 09	30	7	9	14	-29	30
14	Treibach	30	7	3	20	-36	24
15	Ried II	30	7	4	19	-31	25
16	St. Anna	30	2	5	23	-54	11

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Oedt win, at 61.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.