Oeste vs Votuporanguense Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Oeste and 0.90 for Votuporanguense, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives Oeste the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

70.5% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.10 – 0.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Oeste home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oeste to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 31% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Oeste and 0.90 for Votuporanguense, a combined 2.00 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 40%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Match result (1X2)

Oeste win40%

Draw31%

Votuporanguense win30%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%

Over 2.5 goals32%

Over 3.5 goals14%

Both teams to score40%

Correct score

1–014.9%
0–013.5%
1–113.4%
0–112.2%
2–08.2%

Recent form

Oeste

2026-08-22T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventus · 0-5 (L)
2026-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Primavera SP · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Paulista · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Paulista · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-25T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Primavera SP · 0-2 (L)

Votuporanguense

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Paulista - A2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Água Santa	15	10	1	4	10	31
2	Ferroviária	15	8	4	3	10	28
3	Ituano	15	8	4	3	8	28
4	São José EC	15	8	3	4	8	27
5	Sertãozinho	15	7	4	4	0	25
6	Votuporanguense	15	7	3	5	-1	24
7	Juventus	15	6	5	4	2	23
8	XV de Piracicaba	15	6	4	5	1	22
9	Oeste	15	5	7	3	4	22
10	Santo André	15	5	3	7	-6	18
11	Taubaté	15	3	8	4	-1	17
12	Inter De Limeira	15	4	4	7	-3	16
13	Linense	15	2	7	6	-6	13
14	Monte Azul	15	2	6	7	-5	12
15	Grêmio Prudente	15	1	9	5	-4	12
16	Sao Bento	15	1	2	12	-17	5
1	Ferroviária	6	4	0	2	4	12
2	Juventus	6	4	0	2	3	12
3	São José EC	6	3	0	3	2	9
4	Sertãozinho	6	1	0	5	-9	3
1	Votuporanguense	6	4	1	1	8	13
2	Ituano	6	3	1	2	-1	10
3	XV de Piracicaba	6	2	2	2	2	8
4	Água Santa	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.