Pankritio Stadium · Analysis updated 16:20 UTC
OFI vs Atromitos Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for OFI and 0.70 for Atromitos, a combined total of 2.20. That distribution gives OFI the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
OFI win
56.5% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
OFI home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Atromitos away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–016.6%
- 2–012.5%
- 1–111.6%
- 0–011.1%
- 2–18.7%
Recent form
OFI
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Asteras Tripolis · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-17T16:45:00.000Z · H vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-09T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Kifisia · 2-0 (W)
Atromitos
- 2026-10-10T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Asteras Tripolis · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Kifisia · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs PAOK · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Iraklis 1908 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Kalamata · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-01-31T16:00:00.000Z · OFI 2-1 Atromitos (Super League 1)
- 2025-10-25T17:00:00.000Z · OFI 1-3 Atromitos (Super League 1)
- 2025-05-10T16:15:00.000Z · OFI 0-0 Atromitos (Super League 1)
- 2025-03-29T14:30:00.000Z · OFI 1-2 Atromitos (Super League 1)
- 2024-12-14T17:30:00.000Z · OFI 0-0 Atromitos (Super League 1)
- 2024-08-24T16:30:00.000Z · OFI 1-1 Atromitos (Super League 1)
- 2024-08-08T15:45:00.000Z · OFI 1-0 Atromitos (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2024-03-30T18:00:00.000Z · OFI 0-0 Atromitos (Super League 1)
- 2024-01-13T17:00:00.000Z · OFI 1-1 Atromitos (Super League 1)
- 2023-09-23T14:30:00.000Z · OFI 1-1 Atromitos (Super League 1)
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 | OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Kalamata | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is OFI win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.