· Analysis updated 00:46 UTC
Ogooue FC vs Mangasport Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Ogooue FC and 1.75 for Mangasport, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Mangasport the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.3% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ogooue FC home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mangasport away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mangasport to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 34% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Ogooue FC and 1.75 for Mangasport, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Ogooue FC
- 2026-07-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Bitam · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Cercle Mbéri · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Oyem AC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC 105 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Mangasport · 2-1 (W)
Mangasport
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs African Stars · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs African Stars · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Mandji · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vautour Club · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.