· Analysis updated 13:34 UTC
OH Leuven vs Crossing Schaerbeek Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.67 expected goals for OH Leuven and 2.02 for Crossing Schaerbeek, a combined total of 3.69. That distribution gives Crossing Schaerbeek the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Crossing Schaerbeek win
46.4% probability
Expected goals
1.67 – 2.02
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
OH Leuven home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Crossing Schaerbeek away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Crossing Schaerbeek to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 32% / 21% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.67 goals for OH Leuven and 2.02 for Crossing Schaerbeek, a combined 3.69 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.5%
- 1–18.4%
- 2–27.1%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–35.7%
Recent form
OH Leuven
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Cercle Brugge · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T17:15:00.000Z · A vs SK Beveren · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-03T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege · 1-2 (L)
Crossing Schaerbeek
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Verviers · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Huy · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Beerschot VA · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Richelle United · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ganshoren · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Crossing Schaerbeek win, at 46.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.