· Analysis updated 18:05 UTC
OH Leuven W vs Anderlecht W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.46 expected goals for OH Leuven W and 1.35 for Anderlecht W, a combined total of 2.81. That distribution gives OH Leuven W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.0% probability
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
OH Leuven W home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Anderlecht W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates OH Leuven W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 25% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.46 goals for OH Leuven W and 1.35 for Anderlecht W, a combined 2.81 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–28.0%
Recent form
OH Leuven W
- 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-01T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Paris Saint Germain W · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Roma W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Standard Liege W · 5-0 (W)
Anderlecht W
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T11:30:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louviere W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Club Brugge W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | OH Leuven W | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Genk W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.