Belgium · Super League Women · Matchweek 718:00
OH Leuven WWLDDW

4 – 0

Saturday, 24 October 2026

· Analysis updated 03:04 UTC

OH Leuven W vs Zulte-Waregem W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.92 expected goals for OH Leuven W and 0.83 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives OH Leuven W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

OH Leuven W win

79.7% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.92 – 0.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • OH Leuven W home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Zulte-Waregem W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates OH Leuven W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 13% / 8% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.92 goals for OH Leuven W and 0.83 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

OH Leuven W win80%
Draw13%
Zulte-Waregem W win8%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

20%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 2–010.0%
  • 3–09.8%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 3–18.1%
  • 4–07.1%

Recent form

OH Leuven W

  • 2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-01T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Paris Saint Germain W · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-23T16:45:00.000Z · H vs Roma W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Standard Liege W · 5-0 (W)

Zulte-Waregem W

  • 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Super League Women table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Anderlecht W76011418
2Club Brugge W75201117
3OH Leuven W73311212
4Genk W7322011
5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
6Standard Liege W7304-89
7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
8Gent W7007-200

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is OH Leuven W win, at 79.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.