Stadion Schützenmatte · Analysis updated 09:58 UTC
Old Boys vs Langenthal Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Old Boys and 1.95 for Langenthal, a combined total of 4.04. That distribution gives Old Boys the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
63.1% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Old Boys home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Langenthal away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Old Boys to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 21% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Old Boys and 1.95 for Langenthal, a combined 4.04 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
63%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 1–17.2%
- 1–27.0%
- 3–15.2%
Recent form
Old Boys
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaufdorf · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dornach · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Basel II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Courtételle · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Delémont · 0-2 (L)
Langenthal
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Grasshopper II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Muri-Gümligen · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zug · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Solothurn · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Muttenz · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Langenthal | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Courtételle | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Schötz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Muttenz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Solothurn | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | Delémont | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Concordia Basel | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Buochs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Muri-Gümligen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Grasshopper II | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Zug | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Wohlen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Thun II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Bassecourt | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | Black Stars | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Münsingen | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -19 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.