Stadion Schützenmatte · Analysis updated 17:48 UTC
Old Boys vs Pratteln Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.64 expected goals for Old Boys and 1.36 for Pratteln, a combined total of 4.99. That distribution gives Old Boys the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Old Boys win
78.7% probability
Expected goals
3.64 – 1.36
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Old Boys home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Pratteln away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Old Boys to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 11% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.64 goals for Old Boys and 1.36 for Pratteln, a combined 4.99 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
21%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.4%
- 4–16.7%
- 2–16.1%
- 3–05.4%
- 3–25.0%
Recent form
Old Boys
- 2026-08-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaufdorf · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dornach · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Basel II · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Courtételle · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Delémont · 0-2 (L)
Pratteln
- 2025-06-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Lommiswil · 1-4 (L)
- 2025-06-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ueberstorf · 4-1 (W)
- 2025-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Düdingen · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Tavannes / Tramelan · 4-0 (W)
- 2025-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Old Boys · 2-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Liga Interregional - Group 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Old Boys | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 66 |
| 2 | Bosporus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade-Lausanne-Ouchy II | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 58 |
| 4 | Düdingen | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Bosna Neuchâtel | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 51 |
| 6 | Dornach | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Ajoie-Monterri | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -4 | 40 |
| 8 | Pratteln | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 38 |
| 9 | Ueberstorf | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Allschwil | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 37 |
| 11 | Muri-Gümligen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Lyss | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 32 |
| 13 | Binningen | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 14 | Lerchenfeld | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -24 | 31 |
| 15 | Lommiswil | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 16 | Tavannes / Tramelan | 30 | 6 | 2 | 22 | -28 | 20 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Old Boys win, at 78.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.