Romania · Liga 1 Feminin · Matchweek 712:00

1 – 2

Saturday, 3 October 2026

· Analysis updated 17:00 UTC

Olimpia Cluj W vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Olimpia Cluj W and 4.50 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined total of 6.05. That distribution gives Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win

83.9% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.55 – 4.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Olimpia Cluj W home form

    6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 8% / 9% / 84% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.55 goals for Olimpia Cluj W and 4.50 for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, a combined 6.05 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Olimpia Cluj W win8%
Draw9%
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win84%

Double chance 1X

16%

Double chance 12

91%

Double chance X2

93%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals81%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 1–46.2%
  • 1–55.6%
  • 1–35.6%
  • 2–44.8%
  • 2–54.4%

Recent form

Olimpia Cluj W

  • 2026-10-21T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-8 (L)
  • 2026-09-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 0-1 (L)

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W

  • 2026-09-27T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Univ. Craiova W · 13-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T08:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Rapid Bucuresti W · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas Femina W · 15-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanţa W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs SSU Poli Timişoara W · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Liga 1 Feminin table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win, at 83.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.

A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.