· Analysis updated 13:47 UTC
Olimpic Zărneşti vs Săcele Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.46 expected goals for Olimpic Zărneşti and 1.61 for Săcele, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Olimpic Zărneşti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Olimpic Zărneşti win
56.4% probability
Expected goals
2.46 – 1.61
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Olimpic Zărneşti home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Olimpic Zărneşti to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 19% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.46 goals for Olimpic Zărneşti and 1.61 for Săcele, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 77% and both teams to score at 73%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.3%
- 3–16.8%
- 1–16.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 3–25.5%
Recent form
Olimpic Zărneşti
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Valenii de Munte · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Baicoi · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sepsi II · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter Sibiu · 2-7 (L)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kids Tâmpa Braşov · 1-0 (W)
Săcele
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corona Braşov | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 23 |
| 2 | ACS Mediaş 2022 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Baicoi | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Olimpic Zărneşti | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Inter Sibiu | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Sepsi II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Valenii de Munte | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Săcele | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Tricolorul Breaza | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 4 |
| 11 | Carpati Covasna | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -27 | 1 |
| 12 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -18 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Olimpic Zărneşti win, at 56.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.
A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.