Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti · Analysis updated 13:29 UTC
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Juventud Antoniana Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.58 expected goals for Olimpo Bahia Blanca and 0.85 for Juventud Antoniana, a combined total of 1.43. That distribution gives Juventud Antoniana the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 37%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 17% for over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 24%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
76.8% probability
Expected goals
0.58 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Juventud Antoniana away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Juventud Antoniana to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 23% / 37% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.58 goals for Olimpo Bahia Blanca and 0.85 for Juventud Antoniana, a combined 1.43 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
63%
Double chance X2
77%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–024.1%
- 0–120.4%
- 1–013.8%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–28.7%
Recent form
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
- 2026-10-25T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Gimnasia Concepción · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-18T18:30:00.000Z · A vs San Martin Formosa · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T19:00:00.000Z · H vs San Martin Formosa · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy · 2-1 (W)
Juventud Antoniana
- 2026-10-24T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Sol de América · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Huracan Las Heras · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-10T01:00:00.000Z · H vs Huracan Las Heras · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Cipolletti · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T19:30:00.000Z · A vs Atenas · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Torneo Federal A table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 76.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 25% and over 2.5 goals at 17%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.