· Analysis updated 06:14 UTC
Oltul Curtişoara vs CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Oltul Curtişoara and 2.11 for CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin win
60.5% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.11
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Oltul Curtişoara home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 19% / 20% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Oltul Curtişoara and 2.11 for CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–37.0%
Recent form
Oltul Curtişoara
- 2026-10-17T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrolul Hartiesti · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Academica Balș · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Minerul Lupeni · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Păușești · 1-0 (W)
CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin
- 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs CSM Targu Jiu · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Jiul Petroşani · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea Bascov · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Petrolul Hartiesti · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | CSM Targu Jiu | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | CS U Craiova II | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Minerul Lupeni | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Jiul Petroşani | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Filiaşi | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Unirea Bascov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Academica Balș | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Oltul Curtişoara | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Păușești | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Petrolul Hartiesti | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -25 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin win, at 60.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.