· Analysis updated 23:48 UTC
Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Asteras Tripolis II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Olympiakos Piraeus II and 1.93 for Asteras Tripolis II, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives Asteras Tripolis II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Asteras Tripolis II win
46.7% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Olympiakos Piraeus II home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Asteras Tripolis II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Asteras Tripolis II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 31% / 22% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Olympiakos Piraeus II and 1.93 for Asteras Tripolis II, a combined 3.48 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.2%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.0%
Recent form
Olympiakos Piraeus II
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Panthrakikos · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-14T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Kallithea · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Asteras Tripolis II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-27T15:15:00.000Z · A vs Panserraikos · 1-4 (L)
Asteras Tripolis II
- 2026-10-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Panthrakikos · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-17T11:45:00.000Z · H vs Zakynthos · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Anagennisi Karditsas · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-28T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kallithea · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · Olympiakos Piraeus II 1-1 Asteras Tripolis II (Super League 2)
Super League 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Kallithea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Panserraikos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Panionios | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Larisa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Niki Volos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Ellas Syros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Panthrakikos | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Apollon Pontou | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Pyrgos 1968 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | PAOK II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Olympiakos Piraeus II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 16 | Zakynthos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Asteras Tripolis II win, at 46.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.