Lasnamäe Kergejõustikuhalli kunstmuruväljak · Analysis updated 14:45 UTC
Olympic vs Rumori Calcio II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for Olympic and 2.09 for Rumori Calcio II, a combined total of 4.54. That distribution gives Olympic the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Olympic win
46.9% probability
Expected goals
2.45 – 2.09
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Olympic home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Olympic to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 19% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.45 goals for Olympic and 2.09 for Rumori Calcio II, a combined 4.54 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 80%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.0%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–25.7%
- 3–25.7%
- 1–15.5%
Recent form
Olympic
- 2026-08-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Saku Sporting · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs TransferWise · 6-3 (W)
- 2025-06-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Tulevik · 0-6 (L)
- 2024-08-07T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vaprus · 0-11 (L)
- 2023-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Laagri · 0-8 (L)
Rumori Calcio II
- 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Tartu Welco · 0-12 (L)
- 2023-08-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Olympic · 0-3 (L)
- 2021-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs FCP Pärnu · 1-4 (L)
- 2020-09-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Kompanii Marjamaa · 1-2 (L)
- 2020-07-29T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Lootos · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Olympic win, at 46.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.