Algeria · Ligue 1 · Matchweek 1815:00

1 – 1

Wednesday, 22 April 2026

JS KabylieWWDWL

· Analysis updated 19:22 UTC

Olympique Akbou vs JS Kabylie Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.04 expected goals for Olympique Akbou and 1.23 for JS Kabylie, a combined total of 2.27. That distribution gives JS Kabylie the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

69.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Olympique Akbou home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • JS Kabylie away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates JS Kabylie to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 31% / 28% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.04 goals for Olympique Akbou and 1.23 for JS Kabylie, a combined 2.27 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Olympique Akbou win31%
Draw28%
JS Kabylie win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–112.7%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 1–28.1%

Recent form

Olympique Akbou

  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs USM Alger · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs MB Rouisset · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-03T20:00:00.000Z · A vs JS El Biar · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-06T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ben Aknoun · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-05-19T19:00:00.000Z · A vs USM Alger · 0-1 (L)

JS Kabylie

  • 2026-09-17T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Témouchent · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T20:00:00.000Z · H vs MB Rouisset · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-05T19:00:00.000Z · H vs CR Belouizdad · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-20T16:45:00.000Z · A vs ASO Chlef · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-08T16:45:00.000Z · H vs ES Setif · 5-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Oran6420514
2CR Belouizdad6420414
3JS Kabylie6411713
4MB Rouisset7412313
5USM Alger6321311
6Olympique Akbou6312310
7JS El Biar722318
8Témouchent7223-38
9MC Alger321037
10Ben Aknoun614107
11CS Constantine7214-47
12ES Setif612315
13Khenchela6123-35
14ASO Chlef7043-54
15JS Saoura6033-63
16US Biskra6024-92

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.